Couple of points to start with:
1. I don't think Rosie needs anyone to hold her coat HR. If you have something to contribute please chime in.
Really.....was that psychic intuition on your part. Oh sorry that might have looked a teensy weensy bit like ridicule.Chas, I've noticed quite a few argumentative fallacies in your posts, and it doesn't bode well for you..
2. As I have said many times in this particular thread and elsewhere, I dont personally care about any given individuals personal beliefs, and I believe I am careful to respect that. It matters not one jot to me whether you believe in Yahweh, Jesus, Allah, The Purple Spaghetti Monster, alien abductions, astrology, palm reading, dolphin psy on and on and on. The only point of this was to discuss the conflict between scientific reason on one hand and certain religious beliefs on the other. Somehow that got lost in here. My scorn is reserved for those who want to teach supernaturality in a science class. We have enough ignorance in this country without adding fuel to that fire. Frankly, religious zealots frighten me and I think with good cause.
The evidence for the existence of human psychic abilities is so flimsy that it does indeed resemble a straw man, although in the literal rather than metaphorical sense. I will ask a few simple questions to start with:
a. Do you think that the proposition that if in a series of trials of probabilistic events (eg dice rolling, card guessing) the observed results deviate from the expected results that the only explanation for that is psy? If so, why?
b. Do you think that failing to frame your hypothesis in a way that is predictive, ie that ahead of time you can analyze all potential sources of variance and then predict what needs to be observed for the only explanation to be psy, to be true to the scientific method? If so, why?
c. Do you think that the use of arbitrary post hoc statistical metrics that simply demonstrate that the observed results could not have occurred by random chance with a given probability is evidence that they MUST therefore have occurred by psy? Why? (This is pretty much a restatement of number 1 but it is the most important one). It is also the essence of the 'god fallacy' ie if something occurs and we cannot immediately explain it then god must have done it.
d. Do you think that by agreeing that most claimants of psychic powers are cheats or frauds this somehow bolsters the argument in favor of 'scientific psy'? Why? Most people that 'believe' in the paranormal don't think it is some minor statistical blip in the guessing accuracy of a bunch of college students do they. This is a similar argument to the one made by 'scientific creationists' or 'intelligent design' advocates to differentiate themselves from biblical creationists. Many of them have higher degrees and positions in impressive sounding institutes of learning, and then use quasi scientific language to make people believe that they have something to say other than the tired old creationist arguments (which they don't).
e. Do you think that taking the results of 12 or 13 unrelated, largely uncontrolled studies, the vast majority of which failed to demonstrate any deviation from expected results, bundling them all together in a 'meta-analysis' (lovely impressive sounding word) and then burping out some statistical number which you deem to be 'evidence' of your hypothesis is really how science works? Don't you think that if this phenomenon really existed then some rather more impressive evidence than that could have been obtained after well over 100 years of trying?
f. Finally, don't you think that investigative research into the neurophysiological basis for many of the 'something going on' experiences is really the answer to determining what causes the human brain to 'experience' these things?
Randi's $1 million dollar challenge is clearly aimed at the litany of individuals in the world who claim to have paranormal abilities. Many of these people make large sums of money defrauding vulnerable people (spiritualists, mediums, psychic healers, homeopaths) and they need to be exposed as frauds. Again, is an experiment demonstrating a statistical anomaly really evidence for the paranormal? Seriously?
Guys, I am not looking for a fight and certainly not on this site. I come here for therapy and support and not for debate. I will admit that I can be a little cantankerous at times, and that to me is all part and parcel in my book of the give and take of debate. Not sure this is really the place to engage in that though is it.
































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